Sunday, January 09, 2022

Numbers don't Lie...

After hearing from multiple people that "numbers don't lie", I decided to take a look at some official numbers myself... and I found a few interesting charts.  What's more relaxing on a Sunday afternoon than searching the internet for numbers and charts?

These first two charts are from the worldometer website, which has statistics for different topics worldwide: Corona Stats - Germany

As you can see, the number of new cases has definitely increased over the past several days and even weeks, and is even double that of the first two Covid waves.  But interestingly, the number of deaths has remained comparitavely low, and is about half of what it was during the first wave.  It seems like everyone is in panic because there are so many new cases... but if you look at the death toll, it's not on the same level at all.  




This next chart is from the official Berlin Covid website that has things like the traffic light, vaccine numbers, measures, etc.: Berlin Covid Site

Here you can see the number of hospitalizations due to Covid... split into fully vaccinated, non-vaccinated, and unknown.  The January data isn't yet complete, but if you look at the data from October to December, you can see that between 25% and 28% of people hospitalized with Covid are fully vaccinated.  My interpretation of the data is as follows: yes, the vaccine is helping to a certain extent, but it's not helping enough for it to be mandatory.  For example, if only 1-5% of of people hospitalized were vaccinated, then that would be a different story.  But it looks like the vaccine isn't as successful as originally anticipated.


The next several charts are from the Robert Koch Institue site, which is comparable to the CDC in the US.  They have a weekly progress report for Covid that I took a look at: RKI Progress Report - January 6

The first chart shows the Covid fatalities... which confirms the validity of the worldometer chart above.  Again - yes, the number of cases has increased (perhaps because we're also testing more?), but the fatalities are significantly lower than the first wave.


This second chart shows the hospitalizations per age group over the past several weeks.  Thankfully, the hospitalizations are decreasing!  Despite the fact that cases are increasing...


And this final chart shows shows only the Omicron data from the past couple of weeks.  This is also important, as the media is creating such a hype around the new Omicron variant.  But if you look at the numbers, only 9 people (of 83 Million in Germany) are currently in the ICU due to Omicron. (Line "Auf Intensivstation betreute symptomatische Covid-19 Fälle").  What's even more bizarre is that 6 people (out of  these 9) are either vaccinated, recovered, or boostered.

And 7 people (of 83 Million) have unfortunately passed away due to Omicron... this is the last section titled "Verstorbene symptomatische Covid-19 Fälle".  Of these 7 people, 5 people were either vaccinated, recovered or boostered.


I'll stop bothering everyone with numbers now... :)  Just thought it would be interesting to take a look at some official numbers from various German sites, as people keep telling me "numbers don't lie" and "look at the numbers."  So I did! :)

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